Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-10-08, Zilker Park were:
Stash (11, 6 shows)
Free (11, 4.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (11, 4.9 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (10, 10.4 shows)
NICU (10, 10.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (10, 7.2 shows)
Julius (10, 7 shows)
Lawn Boy (8, 10.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (8, 11.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8.6 shows)
Alaska (8, 16.8 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (8, 14.8 shows)
Heavy Things (8, 11.6 shows)
Back on the Train (8, 5.5 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.6 shows)
Sparkle (7, 14.5 shows)
Limb By Limb (7, 10.4 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (7, 13.3 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (7, 63.7 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (7, 11 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.7 shows)
Shine a Light (6, 21.2 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 11 shows)
Sugar Shack (5, 21.2 shows)
Undermind (5, 11 shows)
A Day in the Life (5, 24.5 shows)
Drowned (5, 31.9 shows)
Seven Below (5, 20.5 shows)
The Wedge (5, 6.8 shows)
Twenty Years Later (5, 14.5 shows)
Party Time (5, 17.2 shows)
Waste (4, 13 shows)
I Didn't Know (4, 22 shows)
When the Circus Comes (4, 21.2 shows)
Let Me Lie (4, 106.2 shows)
Sleep Again (4, 106.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 7% of the actual 14-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.