Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-06-25, Susquehanna Bank Center were:
Chalk Dust Torture (13, 3.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 4.6 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (12, 4.6 shows)
Tweezer (11, 4.7 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (11, 6.3 shows)
Cavern (11, 5.8 shows)
The Moma Dance (10, 4.4 shows)
Character Zero (10, 4.5 shows)
Stash (10, 5.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (10, 4.5 shows)
Joy (10, 11.6 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (9, 46.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (9, 9.5 shows)
The Squirming Coil (8, 11.4 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 4.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 7.5 shows)
NICU (8, 10.3 shows)
Free (8, 4.8 shows)
Ghost (7, 4.4 shows)
Maze (7, 6.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (7, 13 shows)
Alaska (7, 15.8 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 16.6 shows)
The Horse (6, 15.5 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 11.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 8.7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.6 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 11.6 shows)
Guyute (5, 21.6 shows)
The Curtain With (5, 26 shows)
Esther (5, 34.2 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 7.5 shows)
Let Me Lie (5, 81.1 shows)
The Wedge (5, 6.8 shows)
Seven Below (5, 20.3 shows)
Beauty of a Broken Heart (5, 46.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.