Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-11-22, War Memorial at Oncenter were:
Harry Hood (11, 4 shows)
Stash (9, 5.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 4.7 shows)
Piper (8, 5.4 shows)
Grind (8, 22.2 shows)
Loving Cup (7, 9.1 shows)
The Horse (6, 14.5 shows)
Train Song (6, 30.3 shows)
Reba (6, 7.4 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 10.4 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 11.3 shows)
Tube (6, 5.3 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.5 shows)
Farmhouse (5, 13.1 shows)
Heavy Things (5, 11.3 shows)
Sparkle (5, 13.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 7.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (5, 6.5 shows)
Ya Mar (5, 13.6 shows)
Maze (5, 6.7 shows)
Let Me Lie (5, 66.7 shows)
The Wedge (5, 6.9 shows)
Rift (4, 7.3 shows)
Brian and Robert (4, 29 shows)
Beauty of a Broken Heart (4, 44.5 shows)
Sugar Shack (4, 20.2 shows)
A Day in the Life (4, 22.2 shows)
Drowned (4, 27.8 shows)
I Didn't Know (4, 20.8 shows)
Undermind (4, 10.9 shows)
Guyute (4, 20.8 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (4, 10.8 shows)
When the Circus Comes (4, 20.2 shows)
Gumbo (3, 11.7 shows)
Twist (3, 5 shows)
While My Guitar Gently Weeps (3, 55.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 67% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.