Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-11-21, U.S. Bank Arena were:
Backwards Down the Number Line (11, 4.6 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 4 shows)
Ocelot (10, 6.5 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (10, 4.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (10, 4.7 shows)
Stash (9, 5.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (9, 6.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 4.7 shows)
Piper (8, 5.4 shows)
Ghost (7, 4.4 shows)
Loving Cup (7, 9.1 shows)
The Squirming Coil (7, 10.9 shows)
NICU (7, 10 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 7.4 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 10.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (6, 9.4 shows)
Tube (6, 5.3 shows)
The Horse (6, 14.5 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 11.3 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 7.5 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.5 shows)
Farmhouse (5, 13.1 shows)
Ya Mar (5, 13.6 shows)
Guyute (4, 20.8 shows)
Beauty of a Broken Heart (4, 44.5 shows)
A Day in the Life (4, 22.2 shows)
Drowned (4, 27.8 shows)
I Didn't Know (4, 20.8 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (4, 10.8 shows)
When the Circus Comes (4, 20.2 shows)
Gumbo (3, 11.7 shows)
Birds of a Feather (3, 8 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (3, 9 shows)
While My Guitar Gently Weeps (3, 55.6 shows)
Frankenstein (3, 41.7 shows)
Seven Below (3, 19.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 45% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.