Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2025-04-25, Hollywood Bowl were:
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 6.3 shows)
Ghost (10, 6.3 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (10, 6.9 shows)
Sand (10, 6.3 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 6.9 shows)
Stash (9, 6.9 shows)
Blaze On (9, 6.9 shows)
Back on the Train (9, 7.7 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (9, 6.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 6.9 shows)
Free (9, 7.7 shows)
Possum (9, 6.9 shows)
Evolve (8, 7.7 shows)
Light (8, 7.7 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (8, 8.6 shows)
Fuego (8, 7.7 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (8, 8.6 shows)
Golden Age (8, 8.6 shows)
Tube (8, 8.6 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 7.7 shows)
What's Going Through Your Mind (7, 8.6 shows)
Oblivion (7, 8.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 9.9 shows)
Piper (7, 8.6 shows)
More (6, 9.9 shows)
Monsters (6, 11.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.9 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (5, 13.8 shows)
Life Saving Gun (5, 11.5 shows)
Steam (5, 13.8 shows)
Bug (5, 13.8 shows)
Most Events Aren't Planned (5, 11.5 shows)
Hey Stranger (5, 11.5 shows)
Rift (4, 13.8 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 17.3 shows)
Cavern (4, 13.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 65% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.