Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-07-19, FirstMerit Bank Pavilion at Northerly Island were:
Ocelot (13, 8.5 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 4.3 shows)
Light (11, 5.6 shows)
Free (10, 4.6 shows)
Carini (10, 5 shows)
Tube (9, 5.1 shows)
Funky Bitch (8, 9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (8, 9.6 shows)
Walls of the Cave (7, 8.7 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 15.3 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 8.2 shows)
Mound (7, 27.7 shows)
Maze (7, 7 shows)
Steam (6, 7.8 shows)
Waves (6, 14.3 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (6, 16.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.7 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 12 shows)
Roggae (5, 8.9 shows)
Sing Monica (5, 55.4 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (5, 17.7 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 11.4 shows)
Undermind (5, 9.8 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 12.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 8.1 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 10.3 shows)
Gumbo (5, 13 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 10.3 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.7 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (4, 21.1 shows)
Water in the Sky (4, 23.3 shows)
Rock and Roll (4, 15.3 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.8 shows)
Joy (4, 15.8 shows)
Bug (4, 10.5 shows)
Camel Walk (4, 23.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 39% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!


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