Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-10-18, Hampton Coliseum were:
Possum (8, 5.1 shows)
Down with Disease (8, 4.9 shows)
Wilson (6, 9.1 shows)
Tube (6, 5.3 shows)
Maze (6, 7.1 shows)
Julius (6, 9.1 shows)
Army of One (5, 27.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 14.5 shows)
Cities (5, 12.3 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (5, 20.5 shows)
Roses Are Free (5, 29 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 12.3 shows)
Bug (4, 10.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 10.3 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.9 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 10.3 shows)
Sample in a Jar (4, 9.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (4, 8 shows)
Loving Cup (4, 12.3 shows)
Energy (4, 49.3 shows)
Architect (4, 123.3 shows)
Reba (3, 8.6 shows)
Waves (3, 15.4 shows)
The Squirming Coil (3, 13.3 shows)
First Tube (3, 6.9 shows)
Crowd Control (3, 32.9 shows)
Ya Mar (3, 15.4 shows)
Scent of a Mule (3, 23.5 shows)
Twenty Years Later (3, 14.9 shows)
Water in the Sky (3, 22.4 shows)
Nellie Kane (3, 25.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (3, 9 shows)
Sugar Shack (2, 22.4 shows)
Grind (2, 25.9 shows)
Alaska (2, 35.2 shows)
Walk Away (2, 37.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 22% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.