Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-07-27, Gorge Amphitheatre were:
Kill Devil Falls (10, 6.7 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (9, 5.5 shows)
Mike's Song (9, 5.8 shows)
Light (9, 5.6 shows)
Birds of a Feather (8, 7.7 shows)
Rift (8, 7.7 shows)
Julius (8, 8.9 shows)
Golden Age (7, 7.3 shows)
Rock and Roll (7, 13.7 shows)
46 Days (7, 4.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 9.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.2 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 9 shows)
Sand (7, 4.8 shows)
Cities (6, 12 shows)
Roses Are Free (6, 25.3 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (6, 19.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 7.8 shows)
Back on the Train (6, 5.9 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.6 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 9.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 12 shows)
Nellie Kane (5, 24.1 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 11.8 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 11 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 9.9 shows)
Meatstick (4, 13 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 11.8 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.9 shows)
Axilla (4, 16.9 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 14.9 shows)
Alaska (4, 31.6 shows)
Carini (4, 5.3 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 9.5 shows)
The Horse (4, 22 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 24% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.