Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-06-07, Comcast Center were:
Divided Sky (14, 7.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (14, 6.6 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (12, 9.5 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (12, 8.9 shows)
46 Days (12, 4.4 shows)
Stash (12, 6 shows)
Wilson (10, 7.4 shows)
Ghost (10, 4.4 shows)
The Moma Dance (10, 4.5 shows)
Prince Caspian (10, 7.7 shows)
Halley's Comet (10, 7.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (10, 7.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (10, 10.1 shows)
First Tube (9, 6.6 shows)
Joy (9, 12.9 shows)
Show of Life (9, 18.7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (9, 6.5 shows)
Alaska (9, 17.6 shows)
Cities (8, 10.3 shows)
Simple (8, 7.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8.7 shows)
Camel Walk (8, 18.7 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (8, 8.8 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 28 shows)
Twenty Years Later (7, 14.3 shows)
The Squirming Coil (7, 12.1 shows)
Axilla (7, 12.6 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 12.1 shows)
The Horse (7, 16.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.8 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (7, 13.1 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (7, 11.2 shows)
Heavy Things (7, 12.1 shows)
Limb By Limb (7, 10.6 shows)
Sand (7, 4.7 shows)
Maze (7, 6.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 39% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.