Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-06-04, Blossom Music Center were:
Light (15, 5.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (15, 4.9 shows)
Ocelot (14, 7 shows)
Harry Hood (14, 4.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (13, 4.7 shows)
46 Days (12, 4.4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (12, 9.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (12, 5 shows)
Stash (12, 6 shows)
AC/DC Bag (11, 8 shows)
Julius (11, 7.1 shows)
Free (11, 4.8 shows)
Reba (10, 7.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (10, 7.7 shows)
Halley's Comet (10, 7.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (10, 7.4 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (9, 11.2 shows)
Loving Cup (9, 9.6 shows)
Joy (9, 12.9 shows)
Back on the Train (9, 5.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (9, 6.5 shows)
Cities (8, 10.3 shows)
Simple (8, 7.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8.7 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (8, 8.8 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 28 shows)
Roses Are Free (7, 15.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (7, 12.1 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (7, 13.1 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (7, 11.2 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 12.1 shows)
The Horse (7, 16.2 shows)
Limb By Limb (7, 10.6 shows)
Twenty Years Later (7, 14.3 shows)
Gumbo (6, 11.6 shows)
Walk Away (6, 24.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 25% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.