Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-05-31, PNC Bank Arts Center were:
You Enjoy Myself (15, 6.9 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (14, 4 shows)
Divided Sky (13, 7.9 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (12, 9.5 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (11, 8.9 shows)
Piper (11, 5.6 shows)
Reba (10, 7.6 shows)
Character Zero (10, 4.5 shows)
Rock and Roll (9, 10.1 shows)
Ghost (9, 4.4 shows)
The Moma Dance (9, 4.5 shows)
Wilson (9, 7.4 shows)
Show of Life (8, 18.7 shows)
Alaska (8, 17.6 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (8, 10.8 shows)
Tube (8, 5.2 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.6 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 12.1 shows)
Camel Walk (7, 18.7 shows)
The Horse (7, 16.2 shows)
Axilla (6, 12.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.8 shows)
Maze (6, 6.8 shows)
Sand (6, 4.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (6, 14 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 12.1 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (5, 102.8 shows)
Sugar Shack (5, 22 shows)
It's Ice (5, 14.7 shows)
Sparkle (5, 15 shows)
Drowned (5, 32.5 shows)
Twist (5, 4.8 shows)
Lawn Boy (5, 11.2 shows)
Fee (5, 28 shows)
Foam (5, 22.9 shows)
Shine a Light (5, 22.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 71% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.