Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-10-19, Augusta Civic Center were:
Chalk Dust Torture (15, 4 shows)
Ocelot (15, 6.8 shows)
Harry Hood (15, 4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (15, 8.8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (14, 4.5 shows)
Piper (13, 5.4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (13, 7.2 shows)
AC/DC Bag (13, 7.7 shows)
Reba (12, 7.5 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 4.5 shows)
NICU (11, 10.4 shows)
Julius (11, 7 shows)
Rock and Roll (11, 9.8 shows)
Wilson (11, 7.2 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (11, 10.4 shows)
Ghost (10, 4.4 shows)
First Tube (9, 6.6 shows)
Alaska (9, 16.8 shows)
Back on the Train (9, 5.5 shows)
The Squirming Coil (9, 11.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (9, 8.6 shows)
Funky Bitch (9, 7.3 shows)
Maze (9, 6.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (8, 7.6 shows)
Loving Cup (8, 9.5 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (8, 14.8 shows)
Lawn Boy (8, 10.8 shows)
Water in the Sky (8, 19.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (7, 11 shows)
Simple (7, 7.3 shows)
Sparkle (7, 14.5 shows)
Poor Heart (7, 16.8 shows)
Cities (6, 10.3 shows)
Shine a Light (6, 21.2 shows)
It's Ice (5, 14.5 shows)
Foam (5, 22 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 26% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.