Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-10-15, North Charleston Coliseum were:
Possum (17, 4.2 shows)
Down with Disease (16, 4.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (16, 6.6 shows)
Harry Hood (15, 4 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (14, 6.4 shows)
Cavern (13, 5.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (13, 7.2 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (13, 5.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (13, 5.2 shows)
Character Zero (11, 4.5 shows)
Rock and Roll (11, 9.8 shows)
Wilson (11, 7.2 shows)
Prince Caspian (10, 7.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 4.8 shows)
Maze (9, 6.6 shows)
First Tube (9, 6.6 shows)
Water in the Sky (8, 19.3 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (8, 14.8 shows)
Lawn Boy (8, 10.8 shows)
Poor Heart (7, 16.8 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (7, 13.3 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (7, 11 shows)
Sparkle (7, 14.5 shows)
Limb By Limb (7, 10.4 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 12 shows)
The Horse (7, 15.9 shows)
Cities (6, 10.3 shows)
Tube (6, 5.4 shows)
Shine a Light (6, 21.2 shows)
The Wedge (5, 6.8 shows)
Undermind (5, 11 shows)
Axilla (5, 12.5 shows)
Drowned (5, 31.9 shows)
A Day in the Life (5, 24.5 shows)
Party Time (5, 17.2 shows)
Twenty Years Later (5, 14.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 39% of the actual 28-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.