Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-10-11, 1stBank Center were:
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (14, 8.5 shows)
Divided Sky (14, 7.6 shows)
David Bowie (13, 6.2 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (13, 5.6 shows)
Piper (12, 5.4 shows)
Fluffhead (12, 7.7 shows)
Free (11, 4.8 shows)
Wilson (11, 7.2 shows)
Character Zero (11, 4.5 shows)
Reba (11, 7.5 shows)
Prince Caspian (10, 7.6 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (10, 10.4 shows)
Maze (9, 6.6 shows)
Alaska (8, 16.8 shows)
Back on the Train (8, 5.5 shows)
Lawn Boy (8, 10.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (8, 11.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8.6 shows)
Water in the Sky (8, 19.3 shows)
Heavy Things (8, 11.6 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (8, 14.8 shows)
Limb By Limb (7, 10.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 7.6 shows)
Sparkle (7, 14.5 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (7, 11 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (7, 13.3 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (7, 63.7 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 11 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.7 shows)
Shine a Light (6, 21.2 shows)
Undermind (5, 11 shows)
The Wedge (5, 6.8 shows)
Party Time (5, 17.2 shows)
Twenty Years Later (5, 14.5 shows)
Sugar Shack (5, 21.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 48% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.