Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2010-08-05, William Randolph Hearst Greek Theatre, University of California, Berkeley were:
Golgi Apparatus (14, 8.7 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (13, 5.6 shows)
Light (13, 5 shows)
Sample in a Jar (12, 7.2 shows)
Cavern (12, 5.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (11, 6.4 shows)
Fluffhead (11, 7.6 shows)
Divided Sky (11, 7.7 shows)
Joy (10, 11.7 shows)
Wilson (10, 7.2 shows)
The Moma Dance (10, 4.4 shows)
Free (9, 4.8 shows)
Reba (8, 7.6 shows)
Alaska (8, 16.1 shows)
Water in the Sky (8, 18.9 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (8, 53.7 shows)
The Squirming Coil (8, 11.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 8.7 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (7, 15 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (6, 11.1 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 11.1 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.5 shows)
Maze (6, 6.7 shows)
Limb By Limb (6, 10.6 shows)
The Horse (6, 15.7 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 11.9 shows)
Party Time (5, 16.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 8.8 shows)
Shine a Light (5, 21.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 7.6 shows)
Funky Bitch (5, 7.4 shows)
Poor Heart (5, 16.9 shows)
Sugar Shack (5, 20.8 shows)
Undermind (5, 11.1 shows)
Taste (5, 15 shows)
It's Ice (4, 14.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!

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