Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-12-03, Madison Square Garden were:
Character Zero (13, 4.4 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (11, 37.1 shows)
David Bowie (11, 6.1 shows)
Wilson (10, 7 shows)
Piper (10, 5.4 shows)
Limb By Limb (10, 9.8 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (9, 12.1 shows)
The Squirming Coil (9, 10.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 7.4 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 4.7 shows)
Fluffhead (9, 7.5 shows)
Grind (8, 22.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 7.2 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8.3 shows)
Free (8, 4.8 shows)
Loving Cup (7, 9.1 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 5.6 shows)
Train Song (7, 30.3 shows)
Reba (7, 7.4 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 11.3 shows)
The Horse (7, 14.5 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 10.4 shows)
Tube (7, 5.3 shows)
Maze (7, 6.7 shows)
Taste (6, 14.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.5 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.5 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 11.3 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 7.5 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 13.1 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.9 shows)
46 Days (5, 4.6 shows)
Ya Mar (5, 13.6 shows)
Drowned (5, 27.8 shows)
Beauty of a Broken Heart (5, 44.5 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (5, 10.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 63% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.